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AUD/JPY could soon experience a period of short-term strength on an intraday basis to allow for some severe oversold studies to unwind.
While the 50 SMA is moving at a considerable distance below the 200 SMA on the hourly chart, the stochastic (14,3,3) threatens to change the bearish status quo. The oscillator has built a base under the 20% level for an entire session and has just emerged from oversold territory with the recent hourly close. This is a rare but not uncommon technical event warning of a potential short-term bottom.
Longer-term traders following the 4H stochastic, still under 50%, don’t necessarily need to liquidate their sell positions. Nevertheless, the 1-hour stochastic is increasingly backing the idea that it could be necessary soon.