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EUR appreciation is unlikely to be sufficient to result in ECB rate cut - Goldman

"Recent Euro appreciation raises the issue of how the ECB may respond to exchange rate strength," Goldman Sachs said in a recent report.

Key takeaways:

  • While we have argued that a stronger Euro is the most likely potential trigger for a policy rate cut, at least thus far the magnitude of the appreciation is unlikely to be sufficient to result in an ECB rate cut
  • We continue to expect the ECB to indicate in the autumn that its asset purchases will be spread over a longer period than market expectations
  • ECB is likely to reiterate its expectation that rate increases will only take place after asset purchases have ended

GBP/USD still bearish, a test of 1.2900 appears unlikely – UOB

Cable’s stance remains bearish in the near term, although a visit to the 1.2900 handle seems to have lost some momentum for the time being, suggested
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United States EIA Natural Gas Storage change came in at 28B below forecasts (38B) in August 4

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage change came in at 28B below forecasts (38B) in August 4
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