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Gold: Volatile slide then consolidation expected – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team highlights a sharp setback in Gold and Silver, with Gold briefly dropping to USD 4,900 per ounce before stabilizing near USD 5,000. Analysts attribute the move to technical and flow factors rather than a clear macro trigger and expects a continued consolidation phase, especially with Chinese participants absent during New Year holidays.

Sharp drop then stabilizing prices

"Gold and silver prices came under significant pressure yesterday."

"As a result, gold slipped to USD 4,900 per troy ounce and silver to USD 75 per troy ounce."

"Yesterday's price slide also shows that the precious metals markets have not yet settled down after the turmoil at the end of January."

"US consumer prices are due to be published today."

"If these also turn out to be stronger than expected, this would further dampen expectations of interest rate cuts, which could put further downward pressure on gold and silver."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

New Zealand: Inflation expectations edge higher – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team reviews the RBNZ Survey of Expectations, noting that 2-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.37%, with 5-year and 10-year measures also ticking higher.
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HUF: Sideways trading then gradual weakening – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects EUR/HUF to trade broadly sideways around 375 in coming months as the Euro appreciates, before the pair gradually rises toward 400 by end-2026, implying a weaker Forint.
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