USD/CAD holds high above 1.4247 – ING

USD/CAD is holding above its 100-day moving average at 1.4247, BBH's FX analysts report.

High inflation and negative growth prospect are a drag for CAD

"Canada inflation ran hot in February. Headline inflation rose to 2.6%y/y (consensus: 2.2%) vs. 1.9% in January. Core inflation (average of trim and median CPI) quickened to 2.9% y/y (consensus: 2.75%) vs. 2.7% in January. Sales taxes were reapplied to eligible products mid-February which put upward pressure on consumer prices as taxes paid by consumers are included in the CPI."

"Headline and core CPI inflation are tracking above the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) Q1 projection of 2.1% and 2.5%, respectively. The implication is the BOC has limited room to ease policy further to offset the drag to growth from heightened trade policy uncertainty. The combination of high inflation and unfavorable growth prospect is a drag for CAD."